By Nicos Christodoulakis
This publication offers a quantitative framework for the research of clash dynamics and for estimating the commercial expenditures linked to civil wars. the writer develops converted Lotka-Volterra equations to version clash dynamics, to yield practical representations of conflict strategies, and to permit us to evaluate lengthy clash traps. the commercial expenditures of civil wars are evaluated with the aid of replacement equipment: first of all, the writer employs a construction functionality to figure out how the destruction of human and actual capital shares undermines fiscal progress within the medium time period. Secondly, he develops a man-made keep watch over procedure, the place the associated fee is got because the divergence of tangible financial task from a hypothetical course within the absence of civil conflict. the adaptation among the 2 methods supplies a sign of the hostile externalities impinging upon the economic climate within the kind of institutional destruction. through the use of distinctive time-series relating to conflict casualties, neighborhood socio-economic signs, and capital inventory destruction in the course of the Greek Civil struggle (1946-1949), a full-scale software of the above framework is gifted and discussed.
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An Economic Analysis of Conflicts: With an Application to the Greek Civil War 1946-1949 by Nicos Christodoulakis